Published on: September 10, 2022, 1:17 a.m.
Last update: September 10, 2022, 9:49am.
New York soccer fans have one last day before the ordeal begins. Here’s what’s in store for the season.
Jets fans: It’s been way too long since Joe Namath won your only Super Bowl in 1969, when gas was 34 cents a gallon and Woodstock was six months away. So you know what awaits you despite the best intentions of coach Robert Saleh. Things are going to go wrong this season, despite the undefeated preseason, and whether it happens in September or October or, just imagine, January, there will come a time when the “Same Old Jets” moment happens.
Giants fans: After seeing what we all saw in Game 2 last season, when the Washington Football team won with a second-chance field goal that ended the game with a run out of time (because the Giants’ Dexter Lawrence was offside on the first kick, a fumble), you All are excused if you haven’t seen any following game in the 4-13 disaster of a season. Brian Daboll is the new head coach after Joe Judge became Ray Handley 2.0.
The Jets open at home at 1pm EDT and Joe Flacco gets an alumni game if Zach Wilson sits out. The Ravens let go of Flacco after 11 decent seasons, eight of which included him completing at least 60 percent of his passes. Flacco has been prone to interceptions throughout his career, but Baltimore ranked 29th in defensive rating last season. Will this matter against Team Snake Bit?
The Jets are a 6 1/2 home disadvantage, which means they’re in the company of the Texans and Bears, who both hit seven at home. So no, Vegas doesn’t believe in Gang Green.
“It’s official: The Jets are a disaster again… Like [Joe Flacco] Plan B for the Jets?! I don’t know how a Jets fan exists!”
— NOT happy with Jets decision to start Joe Flacco in Week 1 😳😬
— CBS Sports Network (@CBSSportsNet)
What are the key betting points?
The Jets were 6-11-0 against the spread last season, but 3-5 ATS as a home underdog, and were outscored in 10 of 17 games, with half of those trips coming as home underdogs , which happened eight times. . So while this data doesn’t exactly scream “Take the Jets and more,” it is what it is. Their O/U line against Baltimore is 44, and the Ravens were just 1-4 in overs last season as road favorites.
The Giants face the big task of trying to stop the Titans’ monster running back Derrick Henry, who outlasts most of the Giants’ starting defensive unit. Henry was working on a sandbox to regain strength from the broken foot that limited him to 8 games last season after leading the NFL in rushing yards in 2020. Big Blue has always prided itself on its defense, so here there is a disconcerting first. proof
Games with 200+ rushing yards:
Derrick Henry: 5
All other active NFL running backs: 4
— CBS Sports (@CBSSports)
Tennessee is favored by 5 1/2, and the Titans were 3-4-0 against the spread as a home favorite last season, while the Giants were 3-6-0 ATS last season as underdogs in the road. Tennessee was outscored in just one of seven home games last season when favored, and the Giants were outscored five times in nine games as the road dog.
Bad horses don’t have those kinds of long odds
Hope springs eternal in Week 1 of the NFL season, so at least Jets and Giants fans have that going for them. But managing expectations is what it’s all about, and staying in contention for a playoff spot would likely be enough to appease both of these fan bases come January. No one expects either of these teams to win the Super Bowl. The Giants and Jets have championship odds of +13000, so at least it’s not the Texans (+25000).
Look, this NFL season is going to be about Tom and Giselle, Aaron and Ayahuasca, Russell Wilson and his blood feud with Seattle, the eventual return of Deshawn Watson, and Josh Allen being a key member of New York’s best team (because Buffalo is what makes New York a three-team football state).
This is the first season that fans of the Jets, Giants and Bills can legally bet in the state of New York, and the volume of New York money that goes to the green team and the blue team and the of Governor Hochul has the potential to impact. lines during a given week.
For tomorrow, the action against the Jets reaches a surprising level. Take BetMGM for example. Ravens-Jets have the second-highest betting volume on the board (behind Chiefs-Cardinals), and no fewer than 81 percent of spread bets and 85 percent of handling have come in Baltimore, forcing MGM to move the line. from 7 to 4 1/2.
For the Titans-Giants game, the odds, over/under and money line bets are in the 50-50 range.
When a season starts, there isn’t much to do. Yes, the Jets were undefeated in the preseason. And that counts for bupkus right now. Zach Wilson only had 9 TDs and 11 interceptions as a rookie, and this will likely be his team, not Flacco’s, soon.
Flacco’s passing yardage over/under has been set at 238 1/2, a dozen yards higher than Lamar Jackson’s. Both are +4000 to have the most passing yards of any quarterback in the NFL this weekend.
Elijah Moore’s best game last season was with Joe Flacco at QB…
— NYJets Media
In the Giants-Titans game, Henry is the NFL’s +320 favorite to have the highest yardage total, and Saquon Barkley is +4000. So there might be your particular chagrin if you really believe in long shots. Again, in certain NBA circles, “Betting on Barkley” is a tried and true roulette strategy (playing his Philadelphia and Team USA numbers, 34 and 4), so if you want to believe in Saquon after all these years of not believing in him, here’s your chance.
Look, Week 1 sucks. If you had bet on last year’s Week 2 game against Washington that came down to a field goal on the last play of the game in an overturn, you’d be so rich you’d be watching this Sunday’s games on the your yacht
Jets fans are biter than Giants fans, but most of them are smart. They’re not delusional about their team’s Super Bowl chances this season, they just want it to remain somewhat relevant in mid-December.
Getting there and making money in the newly legalized New York market will be a double challenge. New York bettor success factor will play a big role in sportsbooks deciding whether to start offering lucrative bonuses to existing clients. All those ads you keep hearing on TV and radio are aimed at new customers, and there aren’t many left in New York.
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